A New Keynesian Perspective on the Great Recession
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
A New Keynesian Perspective on the Great Recession
With an estimated New Keynesian model, this paper compares the “great recession” of 2007-09 to its two immediate predecessors in 1990-91 and 2001. The model attributes all three downturns to a similar mix of aggregate demand and supply disturbances. The most recent series of adverse shocks lasted longer and became more severe, however, prolonging and deepening the great recession. In addition, ...
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Life-time experiences shape macroeconomic expectations. Young people, endowed a small experience set, are particularly prone to rely on very recent data when forming expectations. I illustrate these patterns with micro survey data on inflation, stock return, and house price appreciation expectations. In the case of asset return expectations, the tendency to extrapolate from recent data makes as...
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S ince John Maynard Keynes wrote the General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money in 1936, Keynesian economics has been highly influential among academics and policymakers. Keynes has certainly had his detractors, though, with the most influential being Milton Friedman, Robert Lucas, and Edward C. Prescott. Monetarist thought, the desire for stronger theoretical foundations in macroeconomi...
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This paper is concerned with the estimation of New Keynesian Phillips Curves (NKPC) and focusses on two issues: the weak instrument problem and the characterisation of the steady states. It proposes some solutions from a global perspective. Using a global vector autoregressive model (GVAR) steady states are estimated as long-horizon expectations and valid instruments are constructed from the gl...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking
سال: 2011
ISSN: 0022-2879
DOI: 10.1111/j.1538-4616.2010.00364.x